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Hot and mostly dry weekend, better rain chances next week

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TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — It’s a full-on summer preview this weekend in Tampa Bay, with sunshine, temperatures in the low 90s, and just a slim chance of a sprinkle. Whether you’re heading out for a beach day, a boat ride, or evening plans, the weather is cooperating. But keep an umbrella nearby next week — afternoon showers are creeping back in.


Friday Evening: Warm, Quiet, and Clear

If you’re headed out tonight, expect a slow and comfortable cooldown. Temperatures dip from 89° at 6 PM into the upper 70s by 10 PM, with clear skies and dry air making it a beautiful night across the region. Sunset is right at 8:00 PM, and the evening remains quiet and warm.


Weekend Forecast: Sunshine Dominates

  • Saturday: A perfect beach and boating day! Highs climb to 90° under mostly sunny skies. A light southwest breeze around 5–10 mph helps ease the heat a bit. Humidity remains moderate and there’s no chance of rain.
  • Sunday: Slightly warmer with a high of 91°, and a 10% chance of a stray PM sprinkle. Most of the area stays dry, but you might notice a touch more humidity in the air.

Marine Forecast for Saturday: Ideal Boating Conditions

Planning time on the water? Conditions will be fantastic. Expect:

  • Winds: Light southeast in the morning at 5–10 knots, shifting to a sea breeze in the afternoon
  • Seas: Calm, 1 ft or less
  • Bay Conditions: Light chop
  • Water Temperature: 76°
  • High Tide (Clearwater Beach): 11:31 AM

This is one of the best boating days we've had in weeks!


Rainfall Outlook: Mainly Dry Now, Wetter Midweek

Our 5-Day Rainfall Outlook shows very little activity this weekend, with mainly dry skies Saturday and just a few tiny cells Sunday. By Monday, inland showers return, and Tuesday looks like the wettest day, with scattered afternoon showers across much of Tampa Bay. Rain chances taper off slightly midweek but don’t disappear completely.


Next Week: Warm with On-and-Off Rain Chances

  • Monday: Mostly sunny with a 20% PM rain chance, high of 92°
  • Tuesday: Higher moisture brings a 40% chance of afternoon rain, high near 89°
  • Wednesday–Thursday: Drier, sunnier skies return with just a 10% chance of showers
  • Friday–Saturday: Slight uptick in moisture again with 10–20% chances and highs in the upper 80s

☀️ Bottom Line:
Enjoy a hot and breezy weekend with plenty of sunshine and low rain chances. Monday brings a small chance of showers, and Tuesday could get a bit soggy. Until then — it’s all sunshine and sea breezes!



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